A Few Thoughts on the 2016 Oklahoma State Survey

first_imgI’ve had a little bit to digest OKC Dave’s survey and produce some of my own thoughts. We even had Dave on a podcast on Thursday to discuss what surprised and excited him about the questions and answers. Here are 15 things I think I think.1. The predicted vs. actual numbers always shock meWe are completely irrational American college sports fans who supremely overrate everything in our own lives all the time, and yet we are almost always low by at least a game when it comes to picking how many wins our team will have? I do not understand this.Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 10.40.13 AM2. That Texas GameOSU hasn’t beaten Texas in Stillwater since 1997, and yet we have roughly the same amount of confidence about that game as the West Virginia one? ? Also TCU should be lower (ESPN disagrees) and Iowa State higher. We have such an irrational Iowa State complex now. Iowa State could field a team of 8th graders with me at QB and there would be a sect of our fan base that would be like, “BUT HAVE YOU SEEN HIM THROW THE DEEP BALL?!”Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 10.43.36 AM3. We put a lot of weight into the scheduleThis is probably the proper way to think about things, but it’s interesting that even though I think we all would say OSU is going to be better this year than last year, our expectations generally for how this team performs have gotten worse. As Dave noted, the 65 percent winning percentage confidence for conference games is the second-lowest since 2012 and we went from thinking we would have a 1 in 51 shot at going undefeated to 1 in 99. Norman is hard.4. I appreciate the love, but …The Oklahoman below everyone but WWLS? Come on, guys. Be better. Berry Tramel doesn’t hate your team.Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 10.50.45 AM5. We can’t figure out the record/polls correlationEvery year we underrate how many wins OSU will have and wildly overrate what our final place in the poll will be. Part of this is because OSU has lost at the wrong time of the season in the last few years, but the other part is that we don’t understand how many wins each poll slot usually gets.Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 10.52.32 AMFor example, here was what we predicted in the last few years.9 wins: 12th in poll9 wins: 8th in poll8 wins: 21stin poll9 wins: 13th in pollA 9-win team finishing 8th in the polls? A 9-win team not named Notre Dame or Alabama finishing 8th in the polls?6. Wait, it’s getting easier to play for titlesI thought this was a little odd.Will OSU football play in a national championship game in the next 10 years?2010: 52% yes2011: 77%2012: 89%2013: 85%2014: 69%2015: 78%2016: 61% (lowest since 2010)It’s getting easier (not harder) to play for national championships (in my opinion). And will continue to do so into the future as the CFB Playoffs expand. Also, OSU continues to get better as a program and is also coming off a season in 2011 in which it would have played for the title if there was one.7. Ford2UnderwoodOklahoma State could have hired Frank Underwood, and this change would have been roughly the same.Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 11.01.59 AM8. The Stoops hate is realThis is the net of who we want our kids to play for. I would definitely rather my kid play for this guy in Waco I’d never heard of before this summer than the guy who wins 11 games a year and is by all accounts a pretty good dude just because he wears red shirts!Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 11.05.13 AM9. Smart money is on No. 1 and No. 93I get the Junior love, but if you’ve been paying attention, players have been telling you who’s going to surprise this season. Jarrell Owens is one, and Jalen McCleskey is the other (and probably Dillon Stoner too). Good to see all three of those guys up there.Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 11.07.15 AM10. COOP2BPSIt doesn’t really matter if it should because eventually it will. It’s too big of a revenue stream. Hopefully COOP will score that contract when it happens.Should OSU allow beer sales at Boone Pickens Stadium?Yes: 63% (up 5% over last year)No: 26%Undecided: 11%11. Is expansion a good idea?To be fair, Dave asked this question before Rice (!!!!) and everyone else got involved (I presume Georgia State is a thing now too), but it’s becoming clear that remaining in the Big 12 and lobbying for expansion is not in fact the best course of action. Unless you are of the belief that the Big 12 is toast and we need to get straight cash, homie right now. Then it actually is the best course of action.With regard to conference affiliation, OSU’s best course of action would be to:Remain in the Big 12 and lobby for expansion – 54%Leave the Big 12 for the SEC – 24%Leave the Big 12 for the Pac 12 – 14%Remain in the Big 12 and lobby for no changes – 8%12. Are OSU fans spoiled?I told Dave and Carson on our podcast that I don’t like the term “spoiled.” I think we rightfully have sky-high expectations because of everything that has happened over the last 10 years. Maybe that means the youngsters don’t appreciate where we came from, but I’m all right with that if I’m going into seasons thinking, “you know, eight wins would be sort of a letdown.”Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 2.27.56 PM13. What am I looking at here?There are people out there who would rather beat OU than play two games for the national title. I do not (and cannot) relate to you.Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 2.29.02 PM14. More VideoOne of the things old man Cunningham and I have talked about recently is the YouTube culture we are living in. I was not aware of how much video was consumed by high school/college kids until recently. So this Q&A made sense to me now (or it does now).The best parts of postgame coverage in online media are (more than 1 answer was allowed):Watching highlights – 49%Player/coach interviews – 40%In-depth analysis – 36%Reading stats – 29%15. No podcasts?Screen Shot 2016-08-18 at 2.31.20 PM?????Great work as always by OKC Dave.If you’re looking for the comments section, it has moved to our forum, The Chamber. You can go there to comment and holler about these articles, specifically in these threads. You can register for a free account right here and will need one to comment.If you’re wondering why we decided to do this, we wrote about that here. Thank you and cheers!last_img

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